MACHINA TABELLARIS

REUTERS ELECTION INTELLIGENCE

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TEXAS RESULTS

DATA STATUS
LIVE COUNTING
0% REPORTING
TIMELINE SYNC
CandidateVotes

Kamala Harris

Dem
0.0%
0

Donald Trump

Rep
0.0%
0

Chase Oliver

Lib
0.0%
0
Est. Vote In0%
Total Ballots0
Projected Winner40 EV
Waiting...

AnalysisState Intelligence Brief

Texas shifted sharply rightward, with Trump winning by double digits, erasing recent Democratic gains in the state.

Primary Variance Drivers

Social issues identified by voters as their "Most Important Issue"

01
State of Democracy
Priority Intensity
33%
Vote Split:
80%
vs
18%
02
Economy
Priority Intensity
31%
Vote Split:
19%
vs
79%
03
Abortion
Priority Intensity
14%
Vote Split:
76%
vs
22%
Electoral Votes40
2020 MarginR+5.6
2024 MarginWaiting...

Reporting Districts

District 1
95% In
District 2
93% In
District 3
100% In
District 4
98% In
District 5
96% In
District 6
94% In
District 7
92% In
District 8
99% In
District 9
97% In
District 10
95% In
District 11
93% In
District 12
100% In
District 13
98% In
District 14
96% In
District 15
94% In
District 16
92% In
District 17
99% In
District 18
97% In
District 19
95% In
District 20
93% In
District 21
100% In
District 22
98% In
District 23
96% In
District 24
94% In
District 25
92% In
District 26
99% In
District 27
97% In
District 28
95% In
District 29
93% In
District 30
100% In
District 31
98% In
District 32
96% In
District 33
94% In
District 34
92% In
District 35
99% In
District 36
97% In
District 37
95% In
District 38
93% In

State Intelligence: Media Monitor

Scanning Regional Media Sources...

Live Feed • TX • POLITICS

Data Sources and Verification

Analysis Methodology and Background Reading
Official 2024 Results (AP)Associated Press State-by-State CountsOfficial 2020 Results (FEC)Federal Election Commission Verified PDFPew ResearchThe Changing Face of the U.S. ElectorateCook Political Report2024 Electoral College Ratings & Deep DiveFiveThirtyEightHow the 2024 Election Forecast WorksReutersKey dates, issues and candidates: The Road to 270Sabato's Crystal BallThe 2024 Presidential Election RatingsUS Census BureauRecord High Turnout in 2020: Demographic BreakdownAP NewsWhy these 7 states will decide the 2024 electionPolitico MagazineThe Demographic Shifts Redefining 2024NPR PoliticsWho are the Swing Voters in 2024?Wall Street JournalHow Inflation and Immigration Shape the 2024 VoteNY TimesTracking the 2024 Presidential CandidatesBrookings InstituteThe 2024 Election Will Turn on TurnoutRealClearPoliticsGeneral Election: Trump vs. Harris Polling AverageCNN PoliticsThe Battleground: What the data tells us about 2024FEC Official2020 Official Presidential General Election Results

Historical margins and turnout baselines are derived from official 2020 General Election results as archived by the Federal Election Commission.

FEC Official Archives →

Real-time projections utilize composite polling averages and district-level reporting simulation models provided by Reuters/Ipsos public datasets.

Reuters Election Center →