MACHINA TABELLARIS

REUTERS ELECTION INTELLIGENCE

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PENNSYLVANIA RESULTS

Swing State
DATA STATUS
LIVE COUNTING
0% REPORTING
TIMELINE SYNC
CandidateVotes

Kamala Harris

Dem
0.0%
0

Donald Trump

Rep
0.0%
0

Chase Oliver

Lib
0.0%
0
Est. Vote In0%
Total Ballots0
Projected Winner19 EV
Waiting...

AnalysisState Intelligence Brief

Trump won the Keystone State by 1.7%, effectively sealing his electoral college victory by flipping this critical 'Blue Wall' state.

Primary Variance Drivers

Social issues identified by voters as their "Most Important Issue"

01
Economy/Jobs
Priority Intensity
40%
Vote Split:
25%
vs
74%
02
Immigration
Priority Intensity
20%
Vote Split:
8%
vs
91%
03
Democracy
Priority Intensity
18%
Vote Split:
85%
vs
12%
Electoral Votes19
2020 MarginD+1.2
2024 MarginWaiting...

Reporting Districts

District 1
95% In
District 2
93% In
District 3
100% In
District 4
98% In
District 5
96% In
District 6
94% In
District 7
92% In
District 8
99% In
District 9
97% In
District 10
95% In
District 11
93% In
District 12
100% In
District 13
98% In
District 14
96% In
District 15
94% In
District 16
92% In
District 17
99% In

State Intelligence: Media Monitor

Scanning Regional Media Sources...

Live Feed • PA • POLITICS

Data Sources and Verification

Analysis Methodology and Background Reading
Official 2024 Results (AP)Associated Press State-by-State CountsOfficial 2020 Results (FEC)Federal Election Commission Verified PDFPew ResearchThe Changing Face of the U.S. ElectorateCook Political Report2024 Electoral College Ratings & Deep DiveFiveThirtyEightHow the 2024 Election Forecast WorksReutersKey dates, issues and candidates: The Road to 270Sabato's Crystal BallThe 2024 Presidential Election RatingsUS Census BureauRecord High Turnout in 2020: Demographic BreakdownAP NewsWhy these 7 states will decide the 2024 electionPolitico MagazineThe Demographic Shifts Redefining 2024NPR PoliticsWho are the Swing Voters in 2024?Wall Street JournalHow Inflation and Immigration Shape the 2024 VoteNY TimesTracking the 2024 Presidential CandidatesBrookings InstituteThe 2024 Election Will Turn on TurnoutRealClearPoliticsGeneral Election: Trump vs. Harris Polling AverageCNN PoliticsThe Battleground: What the data tells us about 2024FEC Official2020 Official Presidential General Election Results

Historical margins and turnout baselines are derived from official 2020 General Election results as archived by the Federal Election Commission.

FEC Official Archives →

Real-time projections utilize composite polling averages and district-level reporting simulation models provided by Reuters/Ipsos public datasets.

Reuters Election Center →